Figuring out whether there are more stars in the universe than grains of sand on Earth’s beaches requires math and imagination.
Are there more stars in the universe than all the sands on the Earth’s shores?
One of the beloved aphorisms of the world of astronomy, coined by the late astronomer Carl Sagan, is that there are more stars in the universe than all the grains of sand on all the beaches on Earth.
It is hard to understand such a thing. When you stand on the beach, you can see countless sands. Considering all the beaches on Earth, the number of sand on the planet will be multiplied in countless ways. However, according to the famous saying, the number of stars in the universe is even more than the number of sands. It is really impossible to understand such a number.
Those who are familiar with the world of astronomy must have heard the mentioned sentence at least once. But Sagan’s aphorism, like so many incredible and nail-biting quotes, is worth asking a very basic question. Is it really true?
Unfortunately, it is not possible to give a direct one-word answer to the above question; Because finding the answer depends on many assumptions that must be considered, and determining some of them is not easy at all.
Finding the answer depends on many assumptions that must be considered and determining some of them is not easy at all
Very large and at the same time quantifiable problems that can be answered with approximate thumb calculations are called ” Fermi problems” in honor of Enrico Fermi, the famous physicist. Fermi was famous for finding ways to estimate large numbers in nearly intractable problems with enough accuracy to arrive at an approximate range of the correct answer.
Usually, when astrologers estimate things in general, they prefer to be accurate to a factor of 10; That is, the number they get is between one-tenth and 10 times bigger than the real answer. This is what astronomers call ” order of magnitude “. For example, one should not worry about an estimate that is two or three times less or more; Because it’s close enough to the real answer.
As a result, considering the dumbness of the answer we need, we return to the problem of sands and stars. First, let’s look at astronomy. For example, our Milky Way is a large galaxy consisting of hundreds of billions of stars. In fact, it is very difficult to determine this number; Because we are inside the galaxy and our view of much of it is blocked by obscuring gas and dust. It should be kept in mind that stars can have a wide range of luminosity. We can call the number 200 billion a conservative estimate.
Now we just need to multiply 200 billion by the number of galaxies in the observable universe to find out how many stars there are in the universe. A team of astronomers working on this issue published their results in 2016, stating that there are approximately two trillion galaxies in the universe.
So can we multiply 200 billion by two trillion to get the answer? Unfortunately, the issue is not that simple. Astronomers who estimated the number of two trillion actually took into account galaxies whose total mass of stars was more than a million times the mass of the Sun.
The estimate of one million is 200 thousand times less compared to the mass of the Milky Way! Consequently, we cannot use only the Milky Way as our model. The good news here is that low-mass galaxies, like stars, are likely to be much more abundant than more massive galaxies, and as a result, their higher numbers compensate for their lower star populations. Using a million solar masses per galaxy is probably close enough.
But there is another problem. A million solar masses do not mean a million stars in each galaxy! The Sun is unusually massive compared to most stars, most of which are actually smaller red dwarfs. Stars with the same or more massive mass than the Sun make up only about 10% of all stars; As a result, there are nearly 10 stars in the universe for every solar mass. We have to multiply 1 million solar masses of each galaxy by 10. Thus, an average of 10 million stars per galaxy is obtained.
So we can estimate the total number of stars as 10 million times 2 trillion = 20 million trillion = 20 quintillion, or 2 times 10 to the power of 19 stars. The universe does not lack stars at all.
But is the number obtained from the number of sands on the ground less or more? Now it’s time to go to the more down-to-earth estimates of the problem. The easiest way to estimate the number of sand grains on all the beaches of the world is to determine the volume of sand on those beaches, for example in cubic meters, and then multiply it by the number of sand grains per cubic meter. These numbers are not that hard to find.
How much sand is there in each cubic meter? The answer depends on the size of the sand grain, which ranges from less than 0.1 mm to almost 2 mm. Let’s take it as an average of one millimeter. Then one cubic meter will contain 1000 times 1000 times 1000 = one billion grains of sand.
Such a number is very high for just one cubic meter. Just a few hundred cubic meters of sand (about the size of an average house) is enough to contain all the stars in the Milky Way. As a result, we do not need a large amount of beach sand to match a large galaxy like our cosmic neighborhood.
From here on the numbers get more ambiguous. For example, how big is a beach? Suppose the size of the beach that is visible from the edge of the ocean to the higher ground reaches 50 meters and has a depth of 10 meters. Now we just need the length of all the beaches together.
Surprisingly, this number has been calculated: the total length of the coastline around all the continents of the Earth is approximately 2.5 million kilometers. Not all these beaches are sandy; But fortunately, the size of sandy beaches is determined: nearly 30% of the world’s coastline is sandy. We can be strict and remove the ant from the prime to arrive at a closer answer. In this case, we have 750 thousand kilometers or 750 million meters of sandy beach.
To find the total volume of sand, we must calculate as follows: 50 meters width multiplied by 10 meters depth multiplied by 750 million meters length = 375 billion cubic meters. If we go with the same estimate of one billion grains of sand per cubic meter, it means that there are 375 billion multiplied by one billion = 375 quintillion grains of sand. If we round the number to 400, then 4 times 10 to the power of 20 grains of sand can be found in the whole earth.
The answer obtained is actually 20 times the number of stars in the observable universe. As a result, the sentence of the aphorism of Sign is apparently wrong.
If we look at the bottom of the oceans and deserts, the amount of sand rises beyond imagination.
However, the assumptions of the problem were very superficial and this could greatly change the results. Consider the size of the sand grains: grains are on the smaller end of the spectrum, 0.1 mm, and can be a millimeter larger than the larger grains. If so, then there are one trillion grains of sand in every cubic meter, so the total number must be multiplied by a thousand. Even if we estimate the length and depth of the sand on a beach several times less or more, the sand wins over the stars by a factor of several thousand.
On the other hand, 10 million stars per galaxy may be too few. It is possible that most galaxies have many more stars than this. However, it is likely that the stars still cannot compensate for the huge advantage of the sands of the Earth’s beaches.
It should be kept in mind that we only considered the sands of the beaches. If we look at the bottom of the oceans and deserts, the amount of sand rises beyond imagination. The Great African Sahara alone probably has hundreds of times more sand than all the coasts of the earth.
Were you surprised by the result? This is the beauty of formal issues. You can quickly get estimated numbers and see how far they are from what you imagined. Our brains are not evolved to understand such huge numbers; As a result, it is not surprising that our imaginations are far from reality. But this is what mathematics and science are for; To prevent us from deceiving ourselves.